Determined-Nitrogen
0x4f888f224053d8cab1e02d6f274aa27268a5bd2b
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.1K
Realised
$115.32
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1AM ET
12104 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-166.03
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 2?
11430 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-11.43
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9PM ET
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11PM ET
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 10AM ET
9304 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-18.29
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 8AM ET
7897 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2025$0.00
$-173.58
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 11PM ET
7535 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 27, 2025$0.00
$-97.49
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10PM ET
6000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-14.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 9PM ET
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 11PM ET
4856 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 25, 2025$0.00
$-54.75
Recent activity
- TRADESELLEpstein client list released in 2025?$8.32Dec 26, 21:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% in 2025?$0.10Dec 26, 21:03 UTC
- TRADESELLEpstein client list released in 2025?$2.77Dec 26, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 10PM ET$4.00Dec 11, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 10PM ET$0.47Dec 11, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 10PM ET$3.37Dec 11, 03:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$10.00Dec 11, 03:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?$36.96Dec 5, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 12AM ET$13.32Dec 4, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 12AM ET$2.84Dec 4, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 12AM ET$1.84Dec 4, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 12AM ET$18.00Dec 4, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 12AM ET$1.36Dec 4, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 12AM ET$9.70Dec 4, 05:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 4?$413.00Dec 4, 00:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 4?$449.09Dec 3, 13:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 4?$795.00Dec 3, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 2?$100.00Dec 3, 13:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 2?$717.86Dec 3, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 4?$29.00Dec 2, 06:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $65.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 2, 04:57 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 26, 21:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".