Bumpy-Kebab
0x4f8d8b5212ee84e07c5ae5b5e1122426e7f399c7
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$53.57
Total PnL
$-6.0K
Realised
$-1.7K
Win rate
9%
57 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
2030 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp May 19, 2026$35.52
$-4.81
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
300 shares @ 3.5¢·now 3.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$10.35
$-0.15
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
1199 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$6.59
$-23.36
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
1200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.60
$-11.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
1000 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.50
$-36.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
24302 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-48.60
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
5000 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-59.72
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
5000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?
4998 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-34.99
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?
3579 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.74
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$3.032h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.173h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.203h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.403h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$2.404h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$2.024h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.604h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.204h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.674h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.224h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.674h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.504h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.584h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.644h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.344h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.604h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.404h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.604h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.404h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.204h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 20h ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
- Win rate sample
- 57 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
