Bountiful-Civilian
0x4f9383ab7180e59a6e5c9876fd7a2fbcf208052e
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$38.79
Total PnL
$-1.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
23 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$23.08
$8.08
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
9 shares @ 53.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$9.38
$4.38
- YES
Will Trump say "Chicago" during Memphis Roundtable?
6 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$6.33
$1.33
- YES
Will Trump say "Khamenei" this week? (March 22)
69 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?
24 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" or "Obliterating" or "Obliterate" during Memphis Roundtable?
7 shares @ 69.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Chicago" during Memphis Roundtable?$5.00Mar 22, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" or "Obliterating" or "Obliterate" during Memphis Roundtable?$5.00Mar 22, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?$5.00Mar 22, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?$5.00Mar 22, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Khamenei" this week? (March 22)$5.00Mar 22, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$15.00Mar 22, 10:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $6.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 10:58 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 22, 11:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".