Gullible-Disruption
0x4f9a9d7c030fe206b1ad86c70ab2e13510b52c84
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$93.49
Total PnL
$-420.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
99 shares @ 94.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$93.49
$0.49
- YES
Trump positive favorability on inauguration day?
414 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-265.43
- YES
Total crypto market cap over $4 trillion on Jan 20?
172 shares @ 70.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-120.60
- YES
Trump second inauguration gets more viewers than first?
58 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$93.28Jun 3, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMFed rate cut in 2025?$0.00Oct 9, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMFed rate cut in 2025?$93.30Oct 9, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut in 2025?$78.37Jul 25, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump second inauguration gets more viewers than first?$35.00Jan 20, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $100k again by January 15?$113.37Jan 20, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k again by January 15?$86.46Jan 3, 02:04 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine hits Moscow before 2025?$86.46Jan 3, 02:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?$0.00Dec 21, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump positive favorability on inauguration day?$135.43Dec 19, 01:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?$109.79Dec 19, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYTotal crypto market cap over $4 trillion on Jan 20?$70.20Dec 17, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump positive favorability on inauguration day?$80.00Dec 17, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYTotal crypto market cap over $4 trillion on Jan 20?$50.40Dec 17, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump positive favorability on inauguration day?$50.00Dec 17, 07:43 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $4,000 on December 13?$0.00Dec 16, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?$277.54Dec 13, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $4,000 on December 13?$137.51Dec 8, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $100k again by Sunday?$0.00Dec 7, 19:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $100k again by Sunday?$137.50Dec 7, 18:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $83.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 10, 10:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 08:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".