Chubby-Explorer
0x4fa2323b42afba78db26465f9d37fdb055c89f89
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-739.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on March 27?
422 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-42.21
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on March 27?
422 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-42.21
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C on March 27?
422 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-42.21
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on March 27?
422 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-42.21
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 21°C or below on March 27?
422 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-42.21
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on March 27?
422 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-42.21
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C or higher on March 27?
422 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-42.21
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on March 27?
422 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-42.21
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on March 27?
422 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-42.21
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on March 24?
233 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-23.31
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$77.84Jun 3, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$77.77Jun 3, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on April 27?$2.38Apr 27, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on April 27?$28.50Apr 27, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on April 27?$25.20Apr 27, 02:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on April 10?$45.04Apr 10, 07:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on April 10?$59.41Apr 10, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on April 10?$420.86Apr 10, 03:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on March 27?$422.49Apr 9, 03:31 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Shenzhen on March 27?$422.49Mar 26, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 22°C on March 27?$422.07Mar 26, 09:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$188.72Mar 25, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on March 24?$233.35Mar 25, 02:34 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Beijing on March 24?$233.35Mar 24, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or higher on March 24?$233.12Mar 24, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$100.02Mar 24, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$20.00Mar 17, 10:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$24.26Mar 17, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$20.00Mar 17, 09:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$53.71Mar 17, 09:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $83.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 02:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 04:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".