0x4fa44d1869fff693a9016dcfa7a8a13a90efa1bf
0x4fa44d1869fff693a9016dcfa7a8a13a90efa1bf
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$1.07
Total PnL
$-10.40
Realised
$-11.01
Win rate
0%
9 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-29?
1 shares @ 21.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$1.00
$0.79
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 2.5¢·now 7.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.07
$0.05
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
1 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
1 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?
1 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-0.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 24?
1 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-0.08
- YES
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?
1 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by October 31?
1 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?
1 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.00
- YES
Will Trump pardon Diddy by Friday?
1 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $94,000 November 10-16?$23.79Nov 16, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 16?$95.44Nov 16, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 16?$76.70Nov 16, 13:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 16?$62.72Nov 16, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $94,000 November 10-16?$64.80Nov 16, 12:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $94,000 November 10-16?$36.21Nov 16, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 16?$54.40Nov 16, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $94,000 November 10-16?$38.30Nov 16, 11:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 16?$49.29Nov 16, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 16?$32.80Nov 16, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $94,000 November 10-16?$58.78Nov 16, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $94,000 November 10-16?$57.80Nov 16, 01:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 15?$17.90Nov 15, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 15?$0.30Nov 15, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $94,000 November 10-16?$27.20Nov 15, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 15?$3.70Nov 15, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on November 15?$16.40Nov 15, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on November 15?$52.45Nov 15, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 15?$26.20Nov 15, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 15?$27.07Nov 15, 15:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $42.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 14, 23:20 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 16, 16:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.