Earnest-Capital
0x4fa6e8423e119eecfda5d62ed3c48cae7d03d7d4
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$123.28
Total PnL
$0.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Free Patriotic Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
40 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$39.95
$0.05
- NO
Will Nicki Minaj advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
34 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$33.59
$0.07
- NO
Will Brandon Jones advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
22 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$22.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Daniel Mercuri advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
16 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$15.72
$0.03
- NO
Will Kataeb Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
12 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.98
$-0.02
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 7?$13.08Jun 8, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 7?$13.01Jun 5, 16:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?$15.51Jun 5, 16:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?$19.87Jun 5, 16:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$29.15Jun 3, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?$19.79Jun 2, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?$15.41Jun 1, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brandon Jones advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$22.00Jun 1, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$53.41Jun 1, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Daniel Mercuri advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$15.69Jun 1, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 31?$18.04Jun 1, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicki Minaj advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$13.12May 31, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 31?$18.00May 31, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicki Minaj advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$20.40May 30, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$29.01May 30, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?$10.03May 30, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$53.30May 30, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?$10.00May 30, 06:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on May 29?$13.03May 30, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$17.05May 30, 06:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $23.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 15:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 02:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.