Lost-Fallacy
0x4fa72d25f95998b7b1defce58e46a1c09ecab0e4
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
133
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.1K
Realised
$-1.1K
Win rate
69%
26 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 133- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
1000 shares @ 68.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-685.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
800 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-400.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
800 shares @ 71.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-569.03
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
500 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
500 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
500 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
500 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$0.65Jan 15, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$6.73Jan 14, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$0.03Jan 14, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$0.31Jan 14, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$0.03Jan 14, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$0.89Jan 14, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$0.09Jan 14, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$0.31Jan 14, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$0.15Jan 14, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$0.15Jan 14, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$0.15Jan 14, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$0.15Jan 14, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$5.00Jan 14, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$15.00Jan 14, 02:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$5.00Jan 14, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$1.05Jan 14, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$0.03Jan 14, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$0.30Jan 14, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$0.03Jan 14, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$0.15Jan 14, 02:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $2.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 01:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 00:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 26 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".