Sizzling-Commitment
0x4fa9838d4041318298bc05a31f71e3c95e6dae83
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$123.00
Total PnL
$2.69
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $70K in September?
25 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$25.00
$0.15
- YES
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
24 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$24.00
$0.84
- NO
Will Solana dip to $150 in September?
22 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$22.00
$0.88
- NO
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
20 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$20.00
$1.20
- NO
Base airdrop in Q3 2025?
20 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$20.00
$0.24
- YES
Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?
12 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$12.00
$0.01
- YES
Will Trump pardon 250-499 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?
379 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-0.38
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 460 and 479 times September 5–12?
250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2025$0.00
$-0.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet between 460 and 479 times September 5–12?$0.25Sep 10, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBase airdrop in Q3 2025?$19.76Sep 10, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$18.80Sep 10, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYLinea airdrop in Q3 2025?$11.99Sep 10, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $150 in September?$21.12Sep 10, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$23.16Sep 10, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70K in September?$24.85Sep 10, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by February 28, 2025?$12.56Sep 10, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?$14.00Sep 10, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon 250-499 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?$0.38Apr 24, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?$13.75Feb 20, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by February 28, 2025?$12.55Feb 20, 09:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$12.03Feb 20, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMTrump in jail before inauguration? $15.00Feb 20, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$11.81Nov 12, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump in jail before inauguration? $14.78Nov 12, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMNigel Farage next Conservative party leader?$0.00Nov 12, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$26.60Nov 12, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYNigel Farage next Conservative party leader?$0.06Oct 10, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$23.94Oct 10, 07:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $13.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 29, 12:07 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 10, 10:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.