Adventurous-Locality
0x4fad05c042f5c4facbba999488a6790bac579717
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$117.13
Total PnL
$-255.77
Realised
$-119.26
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
129 shares @ 44.3¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$52.06
$-4.94
- YES
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
42 shares @ 69.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$41.64
$12.64
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
15 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$15.38
$5.38
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.37
$-0.63
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
5 shares @ 58.0¢·now 55.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.84
$-0.16
- NO
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.83
$-0.17
- YES
Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
1012 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?
498 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-64.04
- NO
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by November 30?
136 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-18.00
- NO
Trump ends taxes on tips before August?
120 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$10.00Apr 6, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$10.00Apr 6, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$20.00Apr 6, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$17.00Apr 6, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?$3.00Apr 6, 17:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Address to the Nation?$0.00Apr 6, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$19.00Apr 6, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$1.00Apr 2, 11:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?$20.00Apr 2, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$7.00Apr 1, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$4.00Apr 1, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?$2.00Apr 1, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Address to the Nation?$1.00Apr 1, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$5.00Apr 1, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$20.00Apr 1, 15:36 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?$11.61Jan 29, 19:04 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?$46.45Jan 29, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?$47.18Jan 29, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?$52.98Jan 29, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS government shutdown Saturday?$245.00Jan 29, 17:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $24.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 3, 17:22 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 6, 17:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".