Gentle-Decrease
0x4fada34e3377111e452a84df904fe7fa781147e3
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-17.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 16?
850 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in March?
750 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on December 1?
733 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
667 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 17?
650 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on June 4?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will there be 4-6 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
316 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $110,000 on November 13?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 3?$45.05Jun 3, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on June 4?$1.07Jun 3, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 3?$45.00Jun 3, 12:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on June 2?$119.12Jun 2, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on June 2?$119.01Jun 1, 10:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$118.12May 26, 21:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$2.00May 25, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$2.00May 25, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$118.01May 24, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?$118.12May 22, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?$118.01May 21, 11:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on May 17?$118.12May 17, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on May 17?$118.01May 15, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 9?$2.00May 15, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$118.12May 15, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 9?$2.00May 8, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$118.01May 6, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$118.12May 6, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$118.01May 4, 03:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 1?$118.12May 4, 03:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $85.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 12:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 18:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".