Optimistic-Death
0x4fb00b2444ec97718d577497974094b589734e8d
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$6.75
Total PnL
$-0.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$1.37
$0.37
- NO
Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$1.15
$0.15
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.14
$0.14
- NO
Ethereum all time high by March 31?
1 shares @ 93.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$1.07
$0.07
- YES
Mehmet Oz confirmed as Medicare and Medicaid Administrator?
1 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will the market cap of $LIBRA (FDV) be less than $500m on Feb 21?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Domantas Sabonis lead the NBA in Rebounds?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum all time high by March 31?$1.00Feb 20, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?$1.00Feb 20, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYMehmet Oz confirmed as Medicare and Medicaid Administrator?$1.00Feb 20, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Domantas Sabonis lead the NBA in Rebounds?$1.00Feb 20, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the market cap of $LIBRA (FDV) be less than $500m on Feb 21?$1.00Feb 20, 05:49 UTC
- REDEEMLakers vs. Jazz$0.00Feb 20, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 35-36°F on February 10?$1.00Feb 20, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill SZA perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?$1.00Feb 20, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEM2025 January hottest on record?$1.02Feb 20, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMScorigami in Super Bowl LIX?$1.03Feb 20, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMTrail Blazers vs. Nuggets$1.04Feb 20, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMClippers vs. Jazz$1.06Feb 20, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMTravis Kelce proposes to Taylor Swift at Super Bowl?$1.07Feb 20, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMHornets vs. Pistons$1.27Feb 20, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Chiefs score 17 or more points in Super Bowl LIX?$2.38Feb 20, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYClippers vs. Jazz$1.00Feb 9, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrail Blazers vs. Nuggets$1.00Feb 9, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Jazz$1.00Feb 9, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 35-36°F on February 10?$1.00Feb 9, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYHornets vs. Pistons$1.00Feb 9, 13:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $2.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 12, 15:18 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 20, 05:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".