Harmless-Cobbler
0x4fb56efd4cfb2b3f50f9f4af4c56d3f33eb9666e
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$44.63
Total PnL
$-18.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
223 shares @ 16.1¢·now 14.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$32.96
$-3.04
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
6 shares @ 87.5¢·now 78.1¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$4.46
$-0.54
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
2 shares @ 89.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.84
$-0.16
- NO
Will Trump post "Football" on Truth Social this week?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.81
$-0.19
- YES
Will Trump post "Uranium" on Truth Social this week?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.64
$-0.36
- NO
Will Trump post "Russia" on Truth Social this week?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.62
$-0.38
- NO
Will Trump post "Wall Street" on Truth Social this week?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.59
$-0.41
- NO
Will Trump post "Sleepy Joe Biden" on Truth Social this week?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.57
$-0.43
- NO
Will Trump post "CIA" or "C.I.A." on Truth Social this week?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.55
$-0.45
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?$6.33Jun 12, 23:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump post "Israel" on Truth Social this week?$2.09Jun 11, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$2.00Jun 11, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$5.00Jun 11, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?$5.04Jun 11, 18:12 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$4.22Jun 11, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill it rain in Central Park on June 9?$1.22Jun 11, 18:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Football" on Truth Social this week?$1.01Jun 10, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Wall Street" on Truth Social this week?$1.01Jun 10, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "CIA" or "C.I.A." on Truth Social this week?$1.00Jun 10, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Russia" on Truth Social this week?$1.01Jun 10, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Cuba" on Truth Social this week?$1.01Jun 10, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Uranium" on Truth Social this week?$1.01Jun 10, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Barack Hussein Obama" on Truth Social this week?$1.01Jun 10, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Sleepy Joe Biden" on Truth Social this week?$1.00Jun 10, 15:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $5.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 20:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.