Silly-Dissemination
0x4fb85e862e1678de941c2f6e7bf0e46a0fd02865
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-29.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
58 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.34
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
57 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?
45 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-6.34
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
33 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 6, 2026?
21 shares @ 24.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
7 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.79
- UP
Solana Up or Down - April 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$3.87Jun 8, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$4.18Jun 8, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$5.32Jun 8, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$2.49Jun 8, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?$6.72May 9, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$1.50May 9, 11:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$0.00Apr 12, 11:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$0.00Apr 12, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$0.00Apr 12, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$0.00Apr 12, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$1.00Apr 12, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$1.00Apr 12, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$1.00Apr 12, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$1.00Apr 12, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$1.00Apr 12, 11:08 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$5.23Apr 12, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$1.00Apr 12, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$1.00Apr 12, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$1.00Apr 12, 04:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$2.22Apr 12, 04:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $2.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 06:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 08:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.