0x4fbbe5599c06e846d2742014c9eb04a8a3d1de8c
0x4fbbe5599c06e846d2742014c9eb04a8a3d1de8c
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$112.46
Total PnL
$-18.00
Realised
$4.21
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by March 31, 2026?
46 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$45.84
$0.47
- YES
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by January 31, 2026?
42 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$41.80
$0.56
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
28 shares @ 52.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$14.55
$-0.14
- NO
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
13 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$6.69
$-0.17
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.96
$0.96
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.61
$0.50
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
360 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-14.40
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 12AM ET
11 shares @ 43.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-4.97
- YES
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?
10 shares @ 42.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.21
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.81
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon SBF by October 31?$0.00Feb 7, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 12AM ET$1.17Jan 4, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 12AM ET$1.24Jan 4, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 12AM ET$1.29Jan 4, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 12AM ET$1.27Jan 4, 05:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$4.55Jan 4, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by January 31, 2026?$29.87Jan 4, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by January 31, 2026?$11.38Jan 4, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by March 31, 2026?$32.27Jan 4, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by March 31, 2026?$13.10Jan 4, 04:18 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$0.12Jan 2, 04:59 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$0.45Jan 2, 04:59 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$0.68Jan 2, 04:58 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$0.44Jan 2, 04:58 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$0.31Jan 2, 04:57 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$0.09Jan 2, 04:57 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$0.53Jan 2, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$2.49Jan 2, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$1.68Jan 2, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$1.38Jan 2, 04:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $3.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 1, 05:20 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 7, 01:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".