Rare-Borrowing
0x4fbd15868f18be56d96bb792d6f4dff496772fb9
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$3.15
Total PnL
$0.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $35-40m?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2025$1.84
$0.79
- YES
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in March?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2025$1.31
$0.21
- YES
Ipswich Town wins the Premier League?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in March?$1.10Apr 5, 12:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$1.12Apr 5, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$1.17Apr 5, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$1.89Apr 5, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$1.10Feb 10, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$1.10Feb 10, 15:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$1.96Feb 10, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIpswich Town wins the Premier League?$1.00Feb 1, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $35-40m?$1.05Feb 1, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$1.00Feb 1, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$1.00Feb 1, 09:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $1.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 1, 09:56 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 5, 12:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".