Outlying-Spike
0x4fbd7bea5956430a9b06332491b240edd4b5c83a
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$5.60
Total PnL
$-9.4K
Realised
$-6.4K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump say "Puerto Rico" during Pennsylvania rally on Oct 29?
6 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2024$5.60
$2.46
- NO
Will Trump say "Frack" of "Fracking" 8 or more times during Pennsylvania rally on Oct 29?
3825 shares @ 53.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2024$0.00
$-2.0K
- NO
Will Trump say "Fake News" 3 or more times during Pennsylvania rally on Oct 29?
1943 shares @ 25.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2024$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will Kamala say "fascist" or "fascism" during DC rally on Oct 29?
662 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2024$0.00
$-430.00
- YES
Will Kamala say "Madison Square Garden" during DC rally on Oct 29?
11 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Kamala say "Puerto Rico" during DC rally on Oct 29?
11 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Border" 20 or more times during Pennsylvania rally on Oct 29?$72.41Oct 30, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Border" 20 or more times during Pennsylvania rally on Oct 29?$500.00Oct 30, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Border" 20 or more times during Pennsylvania rally on Oct 29?$500.00Oct 30, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Border" 20 or more times during Pennsylvania rally on Oct 29?$500.00Oct 30, 00:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Puerto Rico" during Pennsylvania rally on Oct 29?$7.7KOct 30, 00:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Puerto Rico" or "Puerto Rican" during Hannity interview?$162.80Oct 30, 00:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala say "Project 2025" during DC rally on Oct 29?$514.79Oct 30, 00:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Puerto Rico" during Pennsylvania rally on Oct 29?$537.99Oct 30, 00:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Puerto Rico" during Pennsylvania rally on Oct 29?$904.08Oct 30, 00:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Puerto Rico" during Pennsylvania rally on Oct 29?$128.15Oct 30, 00:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Puerto Rico" during Pennsylvania rally on Oct 29?$150.00Oct 30, 00:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Puerto Rico" during Pennsylvania rally on Oct 29?$3.5KOct 30, 00:29 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael military action against Iraq before November?$0.00Oct 30, 00:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Puerto Rico" during Pennsylvania rally on Oct 29?$452.33Oct 30, 00:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Puerto Rico" during Pennsylvania rally on Oct 29?$180.00Oct 30, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Puerto Rico" during Pennsylvania rally on Oct 29?$242.33Oct 30, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Puerto Rico" during Pennsylvania rally on Oct 29?$221.55Oct 30, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Puerto Rico" during Pennsylvania rally on Oct 29?$2.2KOct 30, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action against Iraq before November?$146.94Oct 29, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Frack" of "Fracking" 8 or more times during Pennsylvania rally on Oct 29?$1000.00Oct 29, 21:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $433.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 29, 19:54 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 30, 01:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".