Rare-Arrow
0x4fcd0df0ed1cbbbf52c219cc3c9ededdd2d4b6d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
11391 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?
8172 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Biden drops out by July 4?
7093 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2024$0.00
$-611.90
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
3378 shares @ 29.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Elon Musk" at debate?
1515 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" at debate?
790 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$0.00
$-150.19
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? $75.37Oct 21, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$500.00Oct 9, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? $5.0KOct 9, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lebron announce marketing stunt Tuesday?$1.6KOct 8, 18:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lebron announce final season Tuesday? $2.2KOct 8, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lebron announce marketing stunt Tuesday?$500.00Oct 7, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lebron announce marketing stunt Tuesday?$500.00Oct 7, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lebron announce final season Tuesday? $1.5KOct 7, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?$1.0KJun 17, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$1000.00Jun 17, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" at debate?$150.19Sep 10, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Elon Musk" at debate?$500.00Sep 10, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBiden drops out by July 4? $611.91Jul 3, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$615.04Jul 3, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$493.26Jul 3, 14:09 UTC
- TRADESELLSundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2024?$493.27May 21, 07:31 UTC
- TRADESELLSundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2024?$647.05May 21, 07:30 UTC
- REWARD$0.01Apr 26, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLSundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2024?$200.00Apr 25, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLSundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2024?$145.90Apr 25, 20:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $1.2K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 20, 16:34 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 21, 13:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".