Cautious-Smolt
0x4fcd6e9aac55a611115e547a91b399aff29c208e
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$4.63
Total PnL
$-2.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.72
$0.72
- MAPLE LEAFS
Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafs
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$1.54
$0.54
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$1.37
$0.37
- YES
Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bruce Harrell win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Solana dip to $140 in July?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk say "xAI" 2 or more times during the August 6 AMA?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBlackhawks vs. Maple Leafs$1.00Dec 15, 09:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?$1.15Dec 15, 09:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?$1.39Dec 15, 09:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$1.47Dec 15, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?$1.00Sep 10, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$1.00Aug 25, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$1.00Aug 19, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$1.00Aug 13, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk say "xAI" 2 or more times during the August 6 AMA?$1.00Aug 6, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruce Harrell win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?$1.00Jul 28, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?$1.00Jul 22, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?$1.00Jul 14, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $140 in July?$1.00Jul 8, 12:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 12:34 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 15, 09:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.