Warm-Vault
0x4fd1d9949ab0bc056cac7404a78a9043f6069c7b
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$3.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Bitcoin above $116K on September 1?
2667 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-400.00
- NO
Bitcoin above $108K on September 1?
1667 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
1429 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Bitcoin above $114K on August 25?
451 shares @ 68.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 25, 2025$0.00
$-310.00
- YES
Bitcoin above $116K on August 25?
300 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 25, 2025$0.00
$-75.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on September 19?
279 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 19, 2025$0.00
$-95.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$200.00Sep 17, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on September 19?$95.00Sep 17, 16:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,600 on September 14?$1.0KSep 14, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,600 on September 14?$1.0KSep 14, 15:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,600 on September 14?$32.74Sep 14, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,600 on September 14?$300.00Sep 11, 21:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin above $112K on September 3?$1.3KSep 3, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $112K on September 3?$1.3KSep 3, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin above $110K on September 1?$1.3KSep 1, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $110K on September 1?$900.00Sep 1, 08:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin above $108K on August 29?$140.99Aug 29, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $108K on August 29?$134.78Aug 29, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $108K on September 1?$200.00Aug 28, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $116K on September 1?$400.00Aug 28, 22:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $110K and $112K on August 27?$184.78Aug 27, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $110K and $112K on August 27?$149.32Aug 27, 15:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin above $112K on August 25?$148.54Aug 25, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $112K on August 25?$131.00Aug 25, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $114K on August 25?$300.00Aug 24, 08:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin above $116K on August 25?$28.00Aug 24, 07:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $428.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 22, 05:55 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 17, 17:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".