Vapid-Sir
0x4fd3b066a002866a3e470d67e9ff981b48a1264a
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$3.53
Total PnL
$-34.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.55
$0.55
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
20 shares @ 4.9¢·now 3.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.69
$-0.31
- YES
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.17
$-0.83
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
1333 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 13?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Democracy" this week? (February 22)$1.00Feb 22, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$1.00Feb 18, 21:27 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$1.43Feb 16, 02:45 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?$1.25Feb 8, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?$5.00Feb 7, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 13?$1.00Feb 7, 05:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?$2.78Feb 5, 18:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$1.30Feb 5, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$1.00Feb 5, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?$1.00Feb 5, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$0.00Feb 5, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$1.00Feb 5, 05:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$0.00Feb 2, 13:11 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$0.00Feb 2, 13:11 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$0.00Feb 2, 13:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February?$1.49Feb 2, 13:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$1.01Feb 1, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$1.06Feb 1, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$1.10Feb 1, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on February 5?$1.00Jan 31, 23:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 4, 05:38 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 22, 04:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".