Generous-Hourglass
0x4fd4076f4790bacb2cd2bcd35d4cd238adf24095
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.7K
Realised
$-1.91
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1
23876 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
19668 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-349.98
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for November 23-30 be between 18,000,000 and 20,000,000?
10220 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
7981 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-798.07
- YES
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be greater than 150% on November 12?
3676 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-90.00
- YES
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 33–36%?
3450 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-40.16
- YES
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on November 12?
2937 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 27–30%?
2526 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 24–27%?
2315 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-72.47
- YES
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64
2278 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-185.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$798.08Dec 1, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for November 23-30 be between 18,000,000 and 20,000,000?$100.00Dec 1, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for November 23-30 be between 18,000,000 and 20,000,000?$100.00Dec 1, 10:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$998.08Dec 1, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for November 23-30 be between 18,000,000 and 20,000,000?$928.73Nov 30, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUY>3.1 million TSA travelers any day November 23-30?$158.43Nov 29, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$1.0KNov 29, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for November 23-30 be between 18,000,000 and 20,000,000?$500.00Nov 29, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1$499.59Nov 9, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1$600.00Nov 9, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 33–36%?$40.16Nov 5, 14:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?$6.93Nov 5, 14:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 60% and 100% on November 12?$6.10Nov 5, 14:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on November 12?$27.08Nov 5, 14:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$0.00Nov 5, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$0.05Nov 5, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?$95.78Nov 5, 02:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on November 12?$95.78Nov 5, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?$133.19Nov 5, 02:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$64.24Nov 5, 02:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $238.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 6, 04:45 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 1, 10:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".