Lumbering-Treasury
0x4fd822febcd184f8c4a8446313e3f8c532dfc4b9
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.32
Total PnL
$-87.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
79 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.32
$-4.68
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?
7099 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will "back to friends - sombr" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
1020 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on January 21?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bayern Munich finish first in UCL league phase?
999 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $106,000 January 19-25?
714 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
263 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?$110.05Jan 31, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by February 14?$2.00Jan 29, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?$4.00Jan 28, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 24?$5.00Jan 24, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump x Greenland deal signed by January 31?$5.25Jan 23, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $106,000 January 19-25?$5.00Jan 22, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?$5.00Jan 22, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?$5.00Jan 21, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$5.00Jan 21, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYApple (AAPL) Up or Down on January 21?$1.00Jan 21, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?$10.00Jan 21, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich finish first in UCL league phase?$10.00Jan 21, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "back to friends - sombr" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$10.00Jan 21, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$10.00Jan 21, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GTA 6 cost $100+?$5.00Jan 21, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?$10.00Jan 21, 20:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $6.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 20:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 20:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.