Liquid-Centurion
0x4fdf76c1b07a97376f982d3bb56f01036cf8b3c2
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$6.75
Total PnL
$-11.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
70 shares @ 12.7¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.75
$-2.13
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
3935 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
2919 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
2919 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
2919 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
1975 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-987.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
1975 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-987.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
1975 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-987.50
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
1974 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-987.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
1969 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-984.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.89Apr 1, 04:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the February Meeting?$2.03Apr 1, 04:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation in Argentina increase by between 30% and 32.9% in January 2026?$2.06Apr 1, 04:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?$3.04Apr 1, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?$3.00Feb 7, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the February Meeting?$2.00Feb 7, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation in Argentina increase by between 30% and 32.9% in January 2026?$2.00Feb 7, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.01Feb 7, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMWicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?$1.01Feb 7, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Wicked: For Good' have the second best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.02Feb 7, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.08Feb 7, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?$2.05Feb 7, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 7, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Wicked: For Good' have the second best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.00Dec 17, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?$1.00Dec 17, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Time announce Person of the Year on December 11?$1.02Dec 17, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Time announce Person of the Year on December 11?$1.00Dec 11, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.00Dec 4, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?$1.00Nov 25, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?$1.00Nov 25, 01:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $427.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 23, 01:50 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 1, 04:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.