Friendly-Igloo
0x4fe8fc39c5d843a622d18dad52c4d6443039069e
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$127.95
Total PnL
$-104.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the November unemployment rate be 4.0% or less?$104.92Dec 2, 08:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PSD win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?$104.92Dec 2, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSD win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?$100.49Dec 1, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$0.00Dec 1, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYCardinals vs. Vikings$28.00Dec 1, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYColts vs. Patriots$100.00Dec 1, 20:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Independence Party win the most seats in the Icelandic parliamentary election?$228.49Dec 1, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Independence Party win the most seats in the Icelandic parliamentary election?$187.18Nov 30, 22:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fianna Fáil win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?$187.18Nov 30, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fianna Fáil win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?$150.16Nov 29, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$50.00Nov 15, 22:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $124.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 15, 22:47 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 2, 08:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.