Improbable-Vest
0x4fea29101eda0d5eed053cdcbff0300306e1247f
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-15.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down on July 9?
1080 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
652 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.96
- NO
Bitcoin above $106,000 on July 9?
500 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
- NO
XRP above $2.20 on July 11?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.36
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$3.36Jan 4, 03:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?$3.50Jan 4, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?$3.73Jan 3, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$0.78Dec 23, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$0.05Dec 23, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$0.09Dec 23, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$0.00Dec 23, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$0.02Dec 23, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$0.05Dec 23, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$0.12Dec 23, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$0.15Dec 23, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$0.05Dec 23, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$0.64Dec 23, 07:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$2.47Dec 23, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$2.47Dec 23, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$5.19Dec 23, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$4.00Sep 4, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP above $2.20 on July 11?$5.00Jul 9, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on July 9?$1.00Jul 9, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on July 9?$2.00Jul 9, 14:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $2.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 14:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 4, 03:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.