Lazy-Hurdle
0x4fec10e598f385083120357696e2174d3c5d446b
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$90.09
Total PnL
$-10.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?
90 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$90.09
$0.09
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 21?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on March 10?
820 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.46
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $100,000 and $102,000 on October 30?
650 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.60
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 3?
360 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.44
- YES
Will Russia capture Sumy before October?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 29?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?$90.01May 27, 10:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$90.18May 27, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$90.01May 22, 09:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 17?$1.00May 22, 09:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 17?$1.30May 22, 09:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 17?$1.30May 22, 09:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?$86.09May 22, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?$86.01May 17, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 17?$1.00May 17, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 17?$1.30May 17, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 17?$1.30May 17, 03:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 72°F or higher on May 11?$1.00May 17, 03:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?$1.20May 17, 03:21 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$5.01May 17, 03:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$83.17May 17, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$83.01May 11, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 72°F or higher on May 11?$1.00May 11, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?$1.20May 11, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$5.00May 11, 11:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 7?$90.09May 11, 10:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $65.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 9, 11:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 10:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".