Fair-Vine
0x4feebe23d9d2ea69d39dc095a15dd2ad3963049b
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$371.94
Total PnL
$-42.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
16667 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$291.67
$-8.32
- YES
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9444 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$80.28
$-4.71
- NO
Will Trump say "Hottest" during the Detroit speech on Tuesday?
1121 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during meetings with Slovak Prime Minister?
686 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- NO
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?
125 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- NO
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?
54 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.31
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
20 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.79
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$87.53Jun 1, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$308.84Jun 1, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$1.07May 9, 17:08 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by April 30?$1.50Apr 23, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$2.80Mar 23, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by April 30?$10.00Mar 21, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 3 days or more?$1.50Jan 31, 21:13 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$1.53Jan 31, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?$4.31Jan 24, 01:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$4.31Jan 24, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$7.66Jan 22, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUS government shutdown Saturday?$3.10Jan 22, 15:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Cuba by January 31?$4.56Jan 22, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$5.27Jan 20, 02:37 UTC
- TRADESELLNew "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? $5.27Jan 20, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during meetings with Slovak Prime Minister?$9.99Jan 18, 03:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $21.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 13, 19:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".