Sugary-Diplomacy
0x4ff320bd1b63fd518d8b89168ab09e926784f580
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$30.36
Total PnL
$-12.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?
30 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$30.36
$0.36
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
35 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106K and $108K on June 17?
17 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?$30.00Jan 29, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $90k in October?$5.01Jan 29, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$5.04Jan 29, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$20.04Jan 29, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$32.68Jan 29, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $90k in October?$5.00Oct 28, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$5.00Oct 28, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$3.00Oct 4, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$20.00Oct 4, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$30.00Oct 4, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $106K on June 17?$16.48Aug 21, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $108K and $110K on June 17?$4.06Jun 17, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $106K on June 17?$4.00Jun 17, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $106K and $108K on June 17?$10.00Jun 17, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $108K and $110K on June 17?$5.00Jun 17, 08:29 UTC
- TRADESELLMavericks vs. Clippers$36.01Apr 6, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYMavericks vs. Clippers$60.00Apr 6, 02:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $100 by March?$21.98Apr 6, 02:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $3,500.00 again by March 31?$30.33Apr 6, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $100 by March?$20.00Mar 23, 02:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $338.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 03:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 29, 08:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.