Close-Lumberman
0x4ff85411384533f199201285d8eabaca70c7e433
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$114.48
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$84.58
Win rate
86%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
114 shares @ 77.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$114.48
$25.99
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 December 29-January 4?
8240 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-8.24
- YES
Will Silver (SI) settle over $80 on the final trading day of January 2026?
7218 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-65.65
- NO
Will Silver (SI) settle at $77.5-$80 in January?
1992 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-13.36
- YES
Will Solana dip to $90 December 22-28?
1612 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-47.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
1339 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 6AM ET
1129 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 8?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$4.19May 30, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$5.11May 30, 03:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$4.56May 30, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$5.20May 30, 03:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$9.80May 30, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$5.17May 30, 02:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$5.69May 30, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$89.29May 30, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$5.10May 30, 02:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$0.00May 14, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$5.20May 14, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$16.57May 14, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A$30.27May 12, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 Winner$7.17May 11, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$51.63May 11, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A$20.47May 11, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$8.29May 11, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$8.33May 11, 16:37 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$126.14May 11, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$55.23May 11, 15:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $15.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 11:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 03:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".