0x4ffaf611a0149b5c34ecd3b30e0e2a76a7323e2e
0x4ffaf611a0149b5c34ecd3b30e0e2a76a7323e2e
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$878.65
Total PnL
$878.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
99 shares @ 0.0¢·now 57.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$56.26
$56.26
- YES
Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?
49 shares @ 0.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jan 10, 2027$42.02
$42.02
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?
68 shares @ 0.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$37.07
$37.07
- YES
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
60 shares @ 0.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.50
$31.50
- YES
Will May 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?
35 shares @ 0.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$29.04
$29.04
- YES
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
73 shares @ 0.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.64
$22.64
- YES
Will 1200 to 1249 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?
60 shares @ 0.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jan 10, 2027$21.93
$21.93
- YES
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
60 shares @ 0.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.40
$20.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on May 21?
35 shares @ 0.0¢·now 54.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$18.83
$18.83
- YES
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?
40 shares @ 0.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$18.20
$18.20
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on May 20?$1.95May 20, 11:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on May 21?$0.36May 20, 11:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 20?$0.50May 20, 11:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 68°F or higher on May 20?$2.15May 20, 11:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 20?$0.95May 20, 11:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on May 20?$2.00May 20, 11:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 20?$2.00May 20, 10:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on May 21?$1.80May 20, 10:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be 76°F or higher on May 20?$3.27May 20, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 83°F or below on May 20?$0.14May 20, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on May 20?$0.90May 20, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on May 20?$0.71May 20, 10:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 20?$0.83May 20, 10:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on May 21?$0.70May 20, 10:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 21?$10.14May 20, 10:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Seoul have between 120-130mm of precipitation in May?$1.30May 20, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Seoul have between 130-140mm of precipitation in May?$0.99May 20, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Seoul have less than 100mm of precipitation in May?$1.45May 20, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Seoul have between 140-150mm of precipitation in May?$1.50May 20, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on May 20?$1.30May 20, 10:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 10:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 11:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".