Insistent-Lapdog
0x4ffd06ccd57a221a9cdb42be8e804a2bc394e8b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$45.45
Total PnL
$-536.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
45 shares @ 22.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$45.45
$35.45
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
17143 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-249.98
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
1758 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its September meeting?
278 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2023$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Another US military action against Iran by Tuesday?
200 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-36.00
- YES
Another US military action against Iran by Monday?
125 shares @ 15.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-18.82
- YES
Another US military action against Iran by Friday?
100 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
100 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-40.99
- YES
Will Trump violate bail by September 30?
56 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2023$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
USDC market cap over $25 billion EOY?
50 shares @ 49.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2023$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$10.00Jan 18, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2025?$25.01Jan 18, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2025?$23.38Jul 24, 04:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2025?$13.99Jul 24, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2025?$4.67Jul 24, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2025?$4.70Jul 24, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2025?$4.70Jul 24, 03:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2025?$0.99Jul 18, 17:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2025?$0.89Jul 18, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2025?$1.00Jul 18, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2025?$1.00Jul 18, 17:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2025?$3.54Jul 18, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2025?$1.00Jul 18, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2025?$1.00Jul 18, 13:24 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August?$3.83Jul 18, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August?$2.00Jul 18, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August?$2.00Jul 18, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2025?$0.77Jul 17, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2025?$2.00Jul 17, 02:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2025?$0.39Jul 17, 02:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $16.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 2, 18:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 18, 03:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.