Upbeat-Diplomacy
0x5014e87aaab7b650b641d16f9a3606bb68dafc7f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
45
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-93.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 9–16?
48 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Tesla name a new CEO before July?
47 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?
46 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times April 25–May 2?
23 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Germany win the UEFA Nations League?
20 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2025$0.00
$-6.94
- YES
Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?
20 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Putin meet with Trump before July?
19 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
15 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
14 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
13 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$3.08Feb 8, 22:56 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael withdraws from Gaza in 2025?$4.55Feb 8, 22:56 UTC
- REDEEMTikTok sale announced in 2025?$2.70Dec 30, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$2.00Nov 22, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$18.09Nov 6, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$17.17Nov 4, 19:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?$9.80Oct 31, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Miley Cyrus perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$6.00Sep 17, 23:23 UTC
- REDEEMTrump renames Department of Defense by September 30?$3.45Sep 7, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump renames Department of Defense by September 30?$1.00Sep 2, 21:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bill Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?$3.77Aug 25, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMTrump x Epstein files made public in 2025?$7.14Aug 25, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$2.39Aug 1, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS congress stock trading ban in 2025?$1.00Aug 1, 12:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on July 31?$3.39Jul 31, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk's net worth be between $360b and $370b on July 31?$3.42Jul 29, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Astronomer CEO Andy Byron sue Coldplay?$1.00Jul 29, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bill Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?$2.00Jul 29, 16:58 UTC
- REDEEMThailand x Cambodia ceasefire by July 31?$3.45Jul 28, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYThailand x Cambodia ceasefire by July 31?$1.00Jul 27, 00:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $2.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 09:12 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 8, 22:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".