Black-And-White-Pledge
0x501d2e32195f6b219bba49e3007cd5db51fba0ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$378.07
Total PnL
$-283.97
Realised
$2.68
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Ethereal FDV above $100M one day after launch?
104 shares @ 39.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$31.58
$-8.80
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1151 shares @ 1.7¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$29.24
$9.24
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 4.0¢·now 4.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$24.25
$4.25
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
209 shares @ 9.4¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$22.00
$2.40
- YES
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1603 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$21.63
$1.64
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
125 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$20.69
$0.69
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
123 shares @ 16.2¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.81
$-0.18
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
769 shares @ 2.6¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.54
$-0.46
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
935 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.16
$-0.84
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
235 shares @ 8.5¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$18.47
$-1.53
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$10.18Jun 13, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 14?$14.19Jun 13, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$10.20Jun 13, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 14?$10.38Jun 13, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? AND Will England win on 2026-06-17?$10.28Jun 13, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?$10.25Jun 13, 09:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$19.40Jun 12, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLCanada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5$11.68Jun 12, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5$16.25Jun 12, 19:55 UTC
- TRADESELLCanada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5$16.59Jun 12, 19:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 13?$3.68Jun 12, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5$10.12Jun 12, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 13?$11.25Jun 12, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 13?$5.21Jun 12, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 13?$3.14Jun 12, 11:23 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$6.77Jun 12, 08:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$19.40Jun 12, 08:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 12?$4.93Jun 12, 06:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $16.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 07:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.