Granular-Chronometer
0x5027a1f6105c8398af88de1b88951c43b69914cb
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$52.67
Total PnL
$-0.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
36 shares @ 98.3¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$35.47
$0.27
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C or below on July 11?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$1.76
$-0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 11?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$1.73
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C or below on July 11?
2 shares @ 99.4¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$1.73
$-0.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 11?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$1.72
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on July 11?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$1.72
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 11?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$1.72
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on July 11?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$1.71
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on July 11?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$1.71
$-0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 41°C or higher on July 11?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$1.71
$-0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C or below on July 11?$1.76Jul 9, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on July 11?$1.71Jul 9, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 11?$1.73Jul 9, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on July 11?$1.72Jul 9, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on July 11?$1.71Jul 9, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C or below on July 11?$1.76Jul 9, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 11?$1.71Jul 9, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 41°C or higher on July 11?$1.71Jul 9, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 11?$1.73Jul 9, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 11?$1.70Jul 9, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $65 on July 6?$1.26Jul 9, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $0.95 on July 6?$1.31Jul 9, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $56,000 on July 6?$1.34Jul 9, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $70 on July 6?$1.36Jul 9, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $1.00 on July 6?$1.36Jul 9, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $95 on July 6?$1.42Jul 9, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $67,000 on July 6?$1.50Jul 9, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on July 6?$1.54Jul 9, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $0.90 on July 6?$1.55Jul 9, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $1.30 on July 6?$1.58Jul 9, 07:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
22 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $1.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 07:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.