Present-Manacle
0x502d1dd30569445723cc225333957fbe2966d791
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-91.86
Realised
$0.18
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 10PM ET
67 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 9PM ET
67 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 9PM ET
58 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-2.30
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 8PM ET
55 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-23.73
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 3PM ET
52 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 8PM ET
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 10AM ET
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 29, 12AM ET
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Ukraine" during meeting with French President?
28 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 9PM ET
27 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$14.99Jun 15, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$10.19Jun 15, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ukraine" during meeting with French President?$20.22Jun 15, 13:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say “Dana” or “White” 5+ times during UFC 250?$17.48Jun 15, 12:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone say "Fish" during Rick and Morty E4 S9?$0.00Jun 15, 10:23 UTC
- REDEEMO/U 2.5 Rounds$0.00Jun 15, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Fish" during Rick and Morty E4 S9?$2.72Jun 15, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYO/U 2.5 Rounds$20.23Jun 14, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say “Dana” or “White” 5+ times during UFC 250?$10.18Jun 14, 22:46 UTC
- REDEEMGames Total: O/U 3.5$41.10Jun 14, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 3.5$30.24Jun 14, 04:27 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$92.18Jun 13, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$76.53Jun 11, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 8PM ET$23.73Dec 6, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 7PM ET$5.00Dec 6, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 3PM ET$2.00Dec 5, 20:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 3PM ET$2.69Dec 5, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 3PM ET$5.00Dec 5, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 3PM ET$6.86Dec 5, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 3PM ET$5.00Dec 5, 20:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $11.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 30, 06:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 18:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.