Motionless-Elbow
0x503a857bc6641339df416b03942f2913e0e25695
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$15.53
Total PnL
$-12.69
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Paradex FDV above $3B one day after launch?
5 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.47
$0.07
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
3 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$2.82
$0.11
- NO
Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?
2 shares @ 97.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.37
$0.07
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.95
$-0.05
- NO
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
2 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$1.83
$0.03
- NO
Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
714 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?
375 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?
286 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?
250 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?$1.25Jan 26, 07:57 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?$1.68Jan 26, 07:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2025?$1.73Jan 26, 07:57 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$2.37Jan 26, 07:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill China unban Bitcoin in 2025?$2.64Jan 26, 07:57 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31?$2.80Jan 26, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$5.38Jan 26, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Base launch a token in 2025?$5.47Jan 26, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?$1.80Jan 22, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?$2.30Jan 22, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$2.71Jan 22, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYParadex FDV above $3B one day after launch?$3.00Jan 22, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?$1.00Jan 22, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYParadex FDV above $3B one day after launch?$2.40Jan 22, 10:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$2.42Dec 17, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2025?$1.70Dec 10, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$2.40Dec 10, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31?$2.70Dec 10, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token in 2025?$1.50Nov 10, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$1.50Nov 10, 03:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $107.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 6, 13:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 26, 07:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.