Vague-Hydrogen
0x5040917f72a9bfa51b4ae628f21ed02db0fdcef4
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$13.54
Total PnL
$-26.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Italy recognize Palestine in 2025?
11 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$11.49
$1.49
- YES
Bitcoin all time high by August 31?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$2.04
$1.04
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?
185 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on May 31?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during West Point Commencement on May 24?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Japan recognize Palestine in 2025?
21 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?
20 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone in 2025?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Apple release a new product line in 2025?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Italy recognize Palestine in 2025?$10.00Aug 8, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan recognize Palestine in 2025?$10.00Aug 8, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?$10.00Aug 8, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by August 31?$1.00Aug 8, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump and Putin shake hands by October 31?$1.00Aug 8, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a new product line in 2025?$1.00May 23, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a foldable iPhone in 2025?$1.00May 23, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?$1.00May 23, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 175–199 times May 16–23?$0.63May 23, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during West Point Commencement on May 24?$1.00May 22, 07:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin all time high in May?$10.87May 22, 07:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 200–224 times May 16–23?$4.00May 21, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on May 31?$1.00May 20, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?$3.00May 20, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 200–224 times May 16–23?$4.00May 18, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 175–199 times May 16–23?$5.00May 18, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high in May?$5.00May 18, 09:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $3.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 09:53 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 8, 07:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".