Any-Circle
0x5044c3252890f5165d832341552e31def16929a9
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$157.88
Total PnL
$-240.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
100 shares @ 65.1¢·now 90.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$90.80
$25.70
- NO
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
54 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$53.57
$23.57
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
14 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$13.51
$8.51
- NO
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during January press conference?
672 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
400 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
263 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?
152 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
77 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$24.73May 4, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$5.29May 4, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$10.00May 4, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$10.00May 4, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$30.00May 4, 10:55 UTC
- TRADESELLAI data center moratorium passed before 2027?$0.70May 4, 10:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$50.42May 4, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$13.16May 4, 10:48 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy$50.00May 4, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds of US strikes Iran in February over 50% by Feb 13?$5.00Feb 9, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$10.00Feb 9, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$10.00Feb 9, 17:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$25.38Feb 2, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 14 days or more?$5.00Feb 2, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 10 days or more?$5.00Feb 2, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 7 days or more?$5.00Feb 2, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 6 days or more?$5.00Feb 2, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 5 days or more?$5.00Feb 2, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy$15.00Feb 2, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$20.00Feb 2, 00:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $18.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 20, 02:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 11:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.