Tricky-Fallingout
0x504bdf477b438f0d9620e9eeb15f5a85f6441875
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$117.09
Total PnL
$-31.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
18 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$18.00
$1.08
- YES
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
15 shares @ 90.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$15.10
$1.37
- YES
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
10 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.01
$0.24
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on March 22?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$10.00
$0.02
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
10 shares @ 78.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$10.00
$2.17
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on March 22?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$9.00
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 69°F or below on March 22?
8 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$8.30
$0.04
- NO
Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?
8 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.20
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 22?
8 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$8.00
$0.06
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 21?
8 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$7.80
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 21?$5.67Mar 21, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?$8.19Mar 21, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 21?$7.79Mar 21, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C on March 22?$6.99Mar 21, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on March 22?$9.98Mar 21, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be 69°F or below on March 22?$8.26Mar 21, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on March 22?$8.99Mar 21, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 22?$7.94Mar 21, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?$8.00Mar 21, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$10.81Mar 21, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$20.00Mar 21, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$25.00Mar 21, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$8.00Mar 9, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$13.73Mar 9, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$9.78Mar 9, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?$7.95Mar 9, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$7.83Mar 9, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$16.92Mar 9, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$19.72Mar 9, 15:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on March 2?$83.93Mar 9, 15:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $134.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 13, 12:08 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 21, 08:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".