Indelible-Following-Bit
0x50501b84160b7f0c36b0de8d93bc18230729754c
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
67
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-720.64
Realised
$-37.49
Win rate
33%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 67- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
1446 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
505 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-8.27
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
298 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-28.79
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
197 shares @ 20.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
180 shares @ 40.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-72.54
- UP
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
148 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
75 shares @ 26.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
71 shares @ 33.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-23.72
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
70 shares @ 18.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-12.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
67 shares @ 48.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-32.59
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$17.70Jul 11, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$3.35Jul 11, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$1.33Jul 11, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$3.35Jul 11, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$5.07Jul 11, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$1.38Jul 11, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$4.78Jul 11, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$19.45Jul 11, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$5.41Jul 11, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$1.45Jul 11, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$1.45Jul 11, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$11.66Jul 11, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$13.87Jul 11, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$1.26Jul 11, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$1.67Jul 11, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$1.61Jul 11, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$1.61Jul 11, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$1.46Jul 11, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$1.97Jul 11, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$3.23Jul 11, 19:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
37/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $8.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 12:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 20:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.