Uneven-Greens
0x505211d97c54e33327b14ac272f798fe049acf5c
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
67
Open notional
$102.85
Total PnL
$-845.23
Realised
$-6.53
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 67- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
84 shares @ 27.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$84.15
$61.43
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
13 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.72
$0.27
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 81.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.98
$0.98
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
18573 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-72.34
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
4149 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-19.61
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
3700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-7.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
3300 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-9.90
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?
2807 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-27.34
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
1982 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-13.59
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
1930 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-11.58
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.