Thrifty-Raise
0x505ce511c5ecab5f6c8255a29b15f6a900ced48a
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$6.17
Total PnL
$2.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$2.90
$1.92
- 76ERS
Magic vs. 76ers
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$1.24
$0.25
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$1.01Jun 2, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagic vs. 76ers$1.00Apr 16, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$1.00Mar 17, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$1.00Mar 10, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on February 10?$0.00Feb 11, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$1.39Feb 11, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on February 10?$2.04Feb 10, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$1.00Feb 10, 02:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $1.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 10, 02:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 06:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".