Afraid-Buggy
0x5068c58400d54c72a170fcd5d0a48666adc332bf
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-496.79
Realised
$-30.77
Win rate
0%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 24?
14351 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-37.97
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C or higher on June 28?
311 shares @ 68.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-211.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 4?
86 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 3?
64 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-52.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on July 4?
59 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 4?
51 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 5?
47 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 30?
46 shares @ 59.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-27.55
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 6?
39 shares @ 93.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-36.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 5?
35 shares @ 14.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMArgentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$545.45Jul 12, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$482.88Jul 12, 01:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 6?$12.36Jul 6, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 6?$36.12Jul 6, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 6?$11.06Jul 6, 00:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on July 5?$16.13Jul 5, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 5?$5.21Jul 5, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 5?$5.18Jul 5, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 5?$5.19Jul 5, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 5?$5.22Jul 5, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 5?$5.14Jul 5, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 4?$27.19Jul 5, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on July 5?$5.18Jul 5, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on July 5?$5.17Jul 5, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on July 4?$5.23Jul 5, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 4?$5.23Jul 4, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 4?$5.20Jul 4, 23:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 4?$16.13Jul 4, 12:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 3?$135.04Jul 4, 08:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on July 3?$22.20Jul 4, 05:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $39.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 16:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 04:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.