Dreary-Waiting
0x506947c0bc9ea9637ccddf3e147da862a217824e
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$17.96
Total PnL
$-13.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
23 shares @ 43.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.12
$0.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 5?
4 shares @ 49.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp May 5, 2026$2.27
$0.27
- YES
Will Starmer say "Green" or "Greens" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
5 shares @ 42.0¢·now 41.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$1.90
$-0.05
- YES
Will Starmer say "Scotland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
4 shares @ 45.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$1.75
$-0.15
- YES
Will "2026" be said on ICEMAN?
4 shares @ 45.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.24
$-0.76
- YES
Will JD Vance say "Subsidize" in Des Moines?
3 shares @ 66.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.68
$-1.32
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
10 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
9 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
7 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump say "President Xi" this week?$7.928h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Green" or "Greens" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$2.0010h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Scotland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$1.9411h ago
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "Subsidize" in Des Moines?$2.0311h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 5?$2.0511h ago
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.8911h ago
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$3.1011h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$3.7713h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$2.0713h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "2026" be said on ICEMAN?$2.0413h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$6.6716h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$5.0916h ago
- REDEEMWill Bernie Sanders say "One Percent" or "One Percenter" 3+ times in Michigan?$6.1617h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 3?$0.842d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 3?$1.982d ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 4?$1.982d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "President Xi" this week?$6.852d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 4?$2.062d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie Sanders say "One Percent" or "One Percenter" 3+ times in Michigan?$4.672d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$0.002d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $4.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 2d ago
- Last active
- 8h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".