Old-Smog
0x506be03d4f297cfac977060eff4030be5a1dd002
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$112.01
Total PnL
$-6.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by April 15?
21 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$21.37
$2.57
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
10 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$10.42
$0.42
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 30-April 5?
10 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$10.06
$0.07
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 March 30-April 5?
10 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$10.06
$0.06
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
10 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$10.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 March 30-April 5?
10 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$10.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 March 30-April 5?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$10.02
$0.02
- NO
Will XRP reach $2.00 March 30-April 5?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$10.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 March 30-April 5?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$10.01
$0.01
- NO
Will XRP reach $2.10 March 30-April 5?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$10.00
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by April 15?$18.80Apr 2, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by April 7?$10.00Apr 2, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$10.00Apr 2, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.00 March 30-April 5?$10.00Apr 2, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.10 March 30-April 5?$9.99Apr 2, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,600 March 30-April 5?$10.00Apr 2, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,300 March 30-April 5?$10.00Apr 2, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,700 March 30-April 5?$10.00Apr 2, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 30-April 5?$10.00Apr 2, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $82,000 March 30-April 5?$10.00Apr 2, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$10.00Apr 2, 01:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$4.65Apr 2, 00:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 March 16-22?$10.01Apr 2, 00:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,700 March 16-22?$10.02Apr 2, 00:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of March?$10.03Apr 2, 00:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$15.02Apr 2, 00:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $88,000 March 16-22?$15.02Apr 2, 00:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $86,000 March 16-22?$16.02Apr 2, 00:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,800 March 16-22?$18.02Apr 2, 00:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,900 March 16-22?$20.02Apr 2, 00:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $144.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 08:23 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 2, 01:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.