0x506eae5dcfab0842e0c9284c3dbe56b0fd1173ec
0x506eae5dcfab0842e0c9284c3dbe56b0fd1173ec
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-19.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Everton finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1840-1919 tweets in May 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Washington Wizards win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1480-1519 tweets in May 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Democratic Coalition (DK) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Caroline van der Plas become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1480-1519 tweets in May 2026?$1.05May 18, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1840-1919 tweets in May 2026?$1.05May 5, 11:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$0.96May 5, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$1.00Apr 15, 20:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.00Apr 15, 20:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill David Luna Sánchez win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.00Apr 15, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bologna win the 2025–26 Serie A league?$1.00Mar 16, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atalanta win the 2025–26 Serie A league?$1.00Mar 16, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?$1.00Mar 16, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?$1.00Mar 16, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.00Mar 16, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.00Mar 16, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Luna Sánchez win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.00Mar 16, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Coalition (DK) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$1.00Mar 16, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jarred Vanderbilt win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?$1.00Feb 20, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Washington Wizards win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$1.00Feb 20, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Indiana Pacers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$1.00Feb 20, 12:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.00Feb 20, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.00Jan 23, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?$1.00Dec 24, 12:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 7, 15:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 11:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".