Pessimistic-Verb
0x50704945d3baabca6cb578546555fec8bfb9f819
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
15962 shares @ 35.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-5.6K
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?
8444 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$0.00
$-159.47
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?
1120 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-49.26
- YES
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?
210 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2024$0.00
$-8.82
- NO
Will Trump say "women's sports" during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?
100 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2024$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will Trump say "McDonald's" during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?
100 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2024$0.00
$-12.00
- NO
Will Trump say "missile defense shield" during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?
69 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2024$0.00
$-6.92
- YES
Will Trump say "tampon" during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?
60 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2024$0.00
$-4.74
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?$36.20Jan 29, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?$32.55Jan 29, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?$27.59Jan 29, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?$17.76Jan 29, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?$27.65Jan 29, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?$17.74Jan 29, 16:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Pocahontas" during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?$0.00Nov 2, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "missile defense shield" during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?$2.92Nov 1, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "women's sports" during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?$6.00Nov 1, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "McDonald's" during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?$3.60Nov 1, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "tampon" during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?$2.37Nov 1, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "tampon" during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?$2.37Nov 1, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "missile defense shield" during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?$4.00Nov 1, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "McDonald's" during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?$8.40Nov 1, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Pocahontas" during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?$10.80Nov 1, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?$8.40Nov 1, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?$0.42Nov 1, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?$49.26Nov 1, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.0KOct 25, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.4KOct 25, 15:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $279.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 25, 10:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 29, 17:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".