Infamous-Daughter
0x507b51630295906bc404c52ef0456a7bdbec0742
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$2.9K
Total PnL
$-941.99
Realised
$-12.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
1043 shares @ 95.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$1.0K
$39.65
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
405 shares @ 88.6¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$376.11
$17.51
- NO
Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?
289 shares @ 82.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$264.44
$27.55
- YES
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
200 shares @ 92.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$197.40
$13.30
- YES
Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by December 31?
171 shares @ 76.0¢·now 82.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$140.48
$10.52
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?
140 shares @ 82.3¢·now 87.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$122.90
$7.34
- NO
Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?
221 shares @ 73.6¢·now 51.5¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$113.60
$-48.84
- YES
Will Jake Auchincloss be the MA-04 Democratic nominee?
83 shares @ 91.2¢·now 92.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$76.73
$1.04
- YES
Will $ANSEM dip to $0.08 before 2027?
119 shares @ 91.0¢·now 63.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$75.99
$-32.23
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?
119 shares @ 58.8¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$67.29
$-2.71
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?$164.58Aug 2, 05:37 UTC
- REDEEMIran full airspace closure by July 31?$160.99Aug 1, 06:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$3.71Jul 31, 00:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$6.46Jul 30, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$18.47Jul 30, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$8.00Jul 30, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$9.13Jul 30, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$93.51Jul 30, 18:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?$74.00Jul 30, 18:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia target Kyiv by August 31, 2026?$60.00Jul 30, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?$70.00Jul 29, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by July 31?$31.91Jul 29, 16:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?$89.28Jul 29, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by July 31?$24.67Jul 29, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bill Keating be the MA-09 Democratic nominee?$22.50Jul 28, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Richard Neal be the MA-01 Democratic nominee?$52.92Jul 28, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia target Kyiv by August 31, 2026?$17.80Jul 28, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Auchincloss be the MA-04 Democratic nominee?$13.32Jul 28, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia target Kyiv by August 31, 2026?$15.60Jul 28, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Auchincloss be the MA-04 Democratic nominee?$49.22Jul 28, 07:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $78.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 02:23 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 2, 05:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.