Filthy-Carriage
0x508160ed110da79b6142434636383d9bde676cbe
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$7.46
Total PnL
$-37.62
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
5 shares @ 96.3¢·now 98.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.13
$0.10
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of July 20 2026?
86 shares @ 0.3¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$1.21
$0.95
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 98.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.12
$0.01
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 24?
4280 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-12.84
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 14?
1090 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-6.54
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 30?
1083 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.25
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on April 13?
1075 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.23
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 12?
1075 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.23
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 21?
1070 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.21
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on May 17?
1067 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of July 20 2026?$0.03Jul 22, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of July 20 2026?$0.04Jul 22, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of July 20 2026?$0.02Jul 22, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of July 20 2026?$0.03Jul 22, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of July 20 2026?$0.03Jul 22, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of July 20 2026?$0.02Jul 22, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of July 20 2026?$0.03Jul 22, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of July 20 2026?$0.04Jul 22, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of July 20 2026?$0.02Jul 22, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of July 6 2026?$8.66Jul 10, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of July 6 2026?$8.64Jul 9, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $100 on May 25?$2.10May 25, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on May 17?$0.01May 17, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on May 17?$2.12May 17, 05:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 on May 8?$1.1KMay 9, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 on May 8?$1.1KMay 9, 02:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $100 on May 8?$1.1KMay 8, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $100 on May 8?$1.1KMay 8, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 7?$1.1KMay 7, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 7?$1.1KMay 7, 07:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $365.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 06:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 06:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.